Wayne King-Meiouf : Things to come in 2112?

Professor Wayne King-Meiouf of the University of Proxima

As the new year starts i thought i would look at a few possible events that may happen in 2112 and judge if they are likely to happen or not?

War between the Clones and Eritran Free States
Likelihood : Moderate

A lot of noise has been caused recently by this, the Clones have been rattling every sabre they can lay their hands on. We could see some kind of military adventure by the Clones but i think it will difficult for Oojok to persuade the Clones to fight a little known and far-off foe who pose no threat. The Clone economy has seen better days and massive HCS and Clone economic changes are pending. Personally i don't see the Clones going to war but wouldn't be surprised if there is some kind of skirmish.

War between the Clones and the DDS
Likelihood : Remote

Some HCS hawks have broken cover over the last couple of days (interestingly not reported in the UNP) that the HCS should strike the DDS now while there is the chance the Clones can win. The best Oojok can do is have these HCS hawks consigned to the looney bin to be honest.

A break-up of the Bolitic Confederacy
Likelihood : Possible

Melson and Erinthorn both want to lead the Bolitic, only one man can. Erinthorn has some forces behind him but nowhere near enough to defeat Melson in battle. Could he split the Bolitic? I personally feel it is going to happen sooner or later, we may have a kind of CSE style double headed eagle... though to get there will probably require masses of bloodshed.

Open Tarbotian aggression against the DDS
Likelihood : Moderate

We all know that the Tarbotians have been behind a number of incidents lately (though of course proving it is currently impossible). Will the Tarbotians break cover and openly act against the DDS in 2112? I think not yet, they like to consolidate a new gain properly before moving onto another and to consolidate the ABBO territory is years away. However there is a new kind of thought behind some recent Tarbotian actions, whether new blood has been bought into the leadership i don't know but things have not been as usual.